Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.003558 0.003738 0.003921 0.004123 0.004340 0.004565 0.004818
2025-03-23 0.003201 0.003462 0.003740 0.004060 0.004418 0.004808 0.005267
2025-03-30 0.002971 0.003276 0.003611 0.004006 0.004462 0.004976 0.005603
2025-04-06 0.002827 0.003167 0.003547 0.004007 0.004553 0.005184 0.005977
2025-04-13 0.002630 0.002982 0.003381 0.003873 0.004469 0.005173 0.006080
2025-04-20 0.002537 0.002909 0.003339 0.003878 0.004544 0.005348 0.006410
2025-04-27 0.002485 0.002881 0.003345 0.003938 0.004683 0.005603 0.006849
2025-05-04 0.002389 0.002794 0.003275 0.003897 0.004693 0.005693 0.007076
2025-05-11 0.002309 0.002723 0.003221 0.003872 0.004718 0.005801 0.007327
2025-05-18 0.002235 0.002656 0.003167 0.003844 0.004736 0.005896 0.007562
2025-05-25 0.002209 0.002646 0.003183 0.003906 0.004872 0.006151 0.008030
2025-06-01 0.002152 0.002595 0.003146 0.003894 0.004908 0.006271 0.008310
2025-06-08 0.002090 0.002537 0.003097 0.003866 0.004922 0.006362 0.008557
2025-06-15 0.002019 0.002464 0.003027 0.003808 0.004891 0.006389 0.008710
2025-06-22 0.001955 0.002400 0.002966 0.003758 0.004870 0.006427 0.008878
2025-06-29 0.001916 0.002366 0.002943 0.003759 0.004919 0.006566 0.009207
2025-07-06 0.001831 0.002269 0.002834 0.003637 0.004786 0.006434 0.009104
2025-07-13 0.001799 0.002241 0.002816 0.003641 0.004836 0.006572 0.009435
2025-07-20 0.001787 0.002240 0.002834 0.003696 0.004959 0.006825 0.009965
2025-07-27 0.001742 0.002193 0.002789 0.003659 0.004946 0.006868 0.010151
2025-08-03 0.001705 0.002156 0.002754 0.003636 0.004953 0.006942 0.010391
2025-08-10 0.001668 0.002118 0.002719 0.003610 0.004953 0.007005 0.010615
2025-08-17 0.001661 0.002121 0.002739 0.003666 0.005081 0.007274 0.011213